- Food security has improved in the meher crop producing parts of the country following the start of the meher harvest this month. Although the annual crop assessment has not yet been conducted, overall meher season production is expected to be average to above average this year following the average to above-average kiremt season rains.
- According to the National Metrology Agency (NMA) forecast for the bega season rains (October to January), normal rainfall distribution and quantity are likely to occur across the west and northwest regions of the country while drier than average weather is expected over much of eastern half of the nation.
- Food security is expected to deteriorate in the eastern parts of SNNPR beginning in February/March following the anticipated below-average sapie rains and a resulting decline in the production of transitional crops, mainly sweet potato.
- Water availability, both for human and livestock consumption, is expected to deteriorate in the southern zones of Somali Region, neighboring lowlands of Bale, Borena and Guji zones of Oromia region and South Omo zone of SNNPR following the predicted poor deyr (October to December) rains in these parts of the country.